Market Insights | Summer 2026 | Portland
Summer 2026
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Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro is the 26th most populated metro region in the U.S., home to about 2.54 million residents. Oregon's largest city, Portland, the "City of Roses," is growing again, posting its first population gains since the pandemic with roughly 636,000 residents. The region continues to attract newcomers, led by Vancouver, Washington, just across the Columbia River. Now home to more than 205,000 people, Vancouver has become Washington's fourth largest city.
Portland's economy remains diverse and resilient, anchored by technology, healthcare, advanced manufacturing, footwear and apparel and professional services. Fortune 500 mainstays Nike and Intel keep their global headquarters and largest campuses here. Intel's Hillsboro operations, the company's most advanced research and manufacturing hub in the world, sit at the center of its turnaround, with new chip commitments from major technology partners driving renewed investment in the region. The metro hosts more than 1,200 tech firms alongside major employers including Precision Castparts, Daimler Truck North America, Columbia Sportswear and Oregon Health & Science University, which employs more than 20,000 people and opened its $650 million hospital expansion on Marquam Hill in 2026.
More than 45,000 enterprises fuel innovation and entrepreneurship across the metro, and institutional capital has taken notice. National apartment REITs have publicly identified Portland as having some of the strongest supply and demand fundamentals in their portfolios, with new deliveries projected at less than 1 percent of existing inventory in 2026 and one of the tightest construction pipelines among major Western metros. For long-term multifamily investors, that supply constraint, reinforced by the region's urban growth boundary, is the foundation of the Portland story.
It helps that the region is an extraordinary place to live. The Columbia River Gorge and its waterfalls sit 30 minutes east, Mount Hood and the Oregon Coast are easy day trips, and Forest Park spreads more than 5,000 acres of urban wilderness just minutes from downtown. Add a nationally celebrated food scene, internationally recognized wineries, craft breweries and a downtown gaining new draws starting in 2026, including the James Beard Public Market and new major-label music venues, and the metro pairs quality of life with the economic durability that supports long-term multifamily growth.
Employment
The Portland metro area supports about 1.22 million nonfarm jobs, as reported by the Oregon Employment Department, with construction and professional services posting gains this spring. The local unemployment rate of 4.8% sits within a half point of the national rate of 4.3%, and Portland metro workers out-earn the nation, with average weekly wages of $1,512 compared with $1,436 nationally, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Health care and hospitality continue leading job growth, expanding 2.3% and 3.1% respectively over the past year.
Nike and Intel both benefit from long-term tax certainty agreements with Oregon running into the 2040s, underpinning multibillion-dollar commitments to the region.
Intel has invested more than $52 billion in Oregon to date, including the $3 billion expansion of its D1X development factory at Gordon Moore Park in Hillsboro, the company's most advanced research and manufacturing campus in the world. Intel has filed plans for a fourth D1X module and a rebuild of an adjacent research fab, and new chip commitments from major technology partners in 2026 are fueling the next phase of growth.
Nike completed a 1.4 million square foot expansion of its Beaverton world headquarters, reinforcing its long-term commitment to the region as the company invests in its next stage of growth under hometown CEO Elliott Hill.
OHSU opened its $650 million hospital expansion on Marquam Hill in 2026, a project expected to support 3,000 new jobs as the university continues growing as one of the metro's largest employers.
Oregon's biotech and mass timber sectors continue their upward trend.
| Metro Area Employment (Thousands) | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | % ∆ from Dec. 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Nonfarm | 1,253.3 | 1,244.7 | -0.7% |
| Mining and Logging | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.0% |
| Construction | 79.3 | 74.8 | -5.7% |
| Manufacturing | 119.9 | 114.8 | -4.3% |
| Trade, Transportation, and Utilities | 228.4 | 228.4 | 0.0% |
| Information | 26.5 | 26.0 | -1.9% |
| Financial Activities | 72.7 | 69.5 | -4.4% |
| Professional and Business Services | 194.2 | 190.7 | -1.8% |
| Private Education and Health Services | 207.7 | 212.4 | 2.3% |
| Leisure and Hospitality | 117.6 | 121.3 | 3.1% |
| Other Services | 44.1 | 42.4 | -3.9% |
| Government | 161.8 | 163.3 | 0.9% |
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, not seasonally adjusted. Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro OR-WA MSA. BLS Portland Area Economic Summary, Feb. 18, 2026.
Rental Market
Average asking rents in the Portland metro currently sit at about $1,657 per month, essentially flat over the past two years as the market absorbed a historic wave of new supply. That wave has crested. Deliveries peaked at nearly 8,720 units in 2024, fell to roughly 4,018 in 2025 and are forecast to drop more than 40% this year to fewer than 2,300 units, roughly 74% below the 2024 peak. Just 2,662 units remain under construction, about 1.1% of existing inventory and one of the thinnest pipelines among major Western metros.
That supply discipline holds for the rest of the decade. CoStar forecasts net deliveries of roughly 2,300 to 3,300 units annually through 2030, less than half the pace of the 2019-2024 building cycle, while household growth runs at roughly 9,350 new households per year. Absorption outpaced deliveries in 2025 for the first time since 2021, and CoStar projects 2026 as the rent inflection point, with rents essentially flat before growth turns positive in 2027 and strengthens each year through 2031. For investors entering now, a bottoming rent cycle paired with a constrained construction pipeline is the setup that historically precedes a sustained recovery.
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Source: Bankrate. Median SP $550K, 20% down, 30-yr fixed, APR 6.48%, credit 720+.
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Multifamily Sales
Portland's multifamily investment market posted $1.3 billion in sales in 2025 and $322 million through the first months of 2026, with the trailing 12 months at $1.1 billion. More telling than volume is who is buying: after pulling back in 2023, institutions and REITs returned as net buyers in 2025 and remain net buyers in 2026, led by acquisitions like Berkshire's $88 million purchase of the Peloton Apartments at a 5.17% cap rate. Pricing has stabilized. After corrections in 2022 and 2023, values held flat in 2025, and CoStar forecasts the price index to turn positive in 2026, its first annual gain since 2021, with per-unit values projected to rise each year through 2030. Portland's multifamily market is positioned for long-term strength due to steady rental demand, a regional shortfall of more than 100,000 homes, a metro-wide Urban Growth Boundary limiting outward expansion, the high cost of homeownership with median prices near $550,000 and mortgage rates around 6.5%, and delayed homebuying among Millennials and Gen Z.
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YTD 2026 Volume
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Average Sales PPU / Cap Rate
Sales have been heavily concentrated in Class B and C properties, which accounted for roughly two-thirds of all transactions. These smaller assets typically trade for under $5 million with pricing below $150,000 per unit, approximately 40% less than the average for Class A properties. Cap rates for Class B and C deals generally fall in the mid-6% range, to-upper 7% range, and private investors have driven nearly all acquisition activity.
*CoStar forecast. Source: CoStar Portland Multi-Family Capital Markets Report, June 11, 2026, Overall Sales appendix (market pricing trends; price index is not smoothed). Historical values revised vs. prior editions.
Team
Greg Frick
Founding Partner
Cody Hagerman
Founding Partner
Rob Marton
Partner
Tyler Johnson
Partner
Jack Stephens
Partner
Lee Fehrenbacher
Senior Broker
Adam Smith
Senior Broker
Todd Tully
Broker
William Thompson
Broker
Yuriy Chubok
Broker
Sarah Cowley
Associate Broker